EASY FOREX TRADING

Any system need to have a very good basic to stand on. Once the basic is sort out, then all the accessories can be add on. Just remember not to add too much to it. Today I am going to give a basic system. It consist of only 2 indicators. Being simple, it is able to generate good signal.

Indicators:
1. LWMA 55
2. MACD standard setting

Time frame: 30m

Stop Loss : 35 pips

Take Profit : 35 pips or more.

Currencies : EurUsd, GbpUsd, EurJpy, GbpJpy

Trading System:
LWMA act as a thin trend line. If the price is above it, its uptrend. If the price is below it, its downtrend. So you buy or sell according to trend. Never reverse trade. MACD also shows the trend. If MACD is above 0, its uptrend and the other way around.

I have put 3 vertical lines in the chart where MACD cross 0. Once MACD cross 0, you should only trade according to trend. You entry should be on the LWMA 55 or close. At the moment MACD has cross 0 and is heading down. From now on only consider short position. Try to enter as close as possible to LWMA 55.

Caution has to be taken, even though MACD has cross the trend is not yet full down actually. There is another indicator that I use to show trend and its not full down yet. Unfortunately that indicator is no where in the chart because it is not on GbpUsd chart. It is somewhere else.

Now you wonder why its not there. The truth is most people fail because what they are looking for is not there. That is what I meant with looking at the wrong direction. The trend indicator for GbpUsd is not on GbpUsd chart. Weird isnt it?

You can take this basic system and try to add on what ever system you have. Hopefully it is useful.

A mechanic has many tools. Each tools with its own usage and purpose. It is only down to intelligence and creativity that separates a good mechanic and a bad one.

Like a mechanic, a trader has many tools as well. Each indicator is a tool for the trader and a combination set of tools with rules is a trading system. A good trader has not 1 but many system. Each system has different purpose. It is down to knowledge and creativity that separates a good trader and a bad one apart from portfolio.

The best time frame to trade is the lower time frame but due to noise and spikes it is difficult to trade using lower timeframe. It is the reason why most trades fail in short time frame.

EurUsd has been ranging for the past few days and due to it, has hit my stop loss twice. Being a trend trader myself, I just cannot trade during these ranging period. So I stopped trading and try to make a new trading system using lower time frame to catch these ranging market.

You can actually tell if someone is new in Forex by the way they count their pips or profit. When people starts forex they count pips. They can have hundreds of pips a day and yet their profit is low. This is due to the low risk reward ratio they have taken.

Once you are older in Forex, you will see the ratio. No point of taking hundreds of pips when the profit is low. So you start to take high risk high return trade. These trades do not give you high pips but the profit margin is high.

That is how money is to be made in Forex. You actually manage your risk and take profit from it. For today as of now, I already taken 3 trades. 2 profit trades and 1 lost trade. My account grows 37%. Not bad for a slow Monday.

For the answer to Forex, once you know it you will feel helpless. No matter how smart or brilliant you are it counts for absolutely nothing here. I have Banking and IT qualification. Did that help me? 2 different qualification did not help me one bit here. Made me want to cry when I found it out.

Hunt pips but count profit.

Have you ever been lost in Forex? Some of you might be thinking, how do i get lost in forex?? Let me ask another question. Have you ever open a trade in one direction, after some time open a trade in the opposite direction?

Im sure that happens to all of us, myself included :). That is lost in Forex, where we are unsure of direction of trade. Some people even hedge in the situation.

I have a few tips when you are lost in Forex.

1. If you are lost and dont know which direction to trade, the most important thing is to stop trading and do something else. Go plant a tree or play games. Dont even look at the charts anymore to avoid confusion.

2. Is to take a trading system and put it on multiple time frame. I trade using the same system on 3 timeframe. 15m, 1h, daily. When all three is pointing at the same direction then I trade. If 2 timeframe is pointing at the same direction then i scalp.

3. After sometime, your brain will start to imprint patterns of Forex. Forex has the same pattern over and over again. In our mind, that pattern has been imprinted and it influence our decision making subconsciously. Once you reach that state you will rarely get lost in Forex. You will know the exact time to trade or to get lost (do something else).

I will try to update this blog. Been so long and so busy with new place. As for Forex, USD pairs are going nowhere at the moment with a high probability to go down further.

Forex is not a quick rich scheme.
Forex is not easy even though my blog says so.
Forex is not a place for newbie
Forex is not something you can learn overnight
If you needed the money, dont put it in Forex. Seriously. Go somewhere else.
Forex is a journey, enjoy it.
There is no such thing as holy grail coz there is no perfection in this world. If perfection exist in this world it would be boring. No more room for improvement.
Forex is not rocket science. There is no right or wrong. There is only probability.

I am typing this from my pc. It a bit of a mess now, the new house still needs a little work and I am not feeling well lately. Maybe its the change in climate.

This week I am going to talk about numbers only. Forex is after all based on numbers. Example, I have a long position on GBPUSD @ 1.4700 with a profit of 320 pips at the moment and still holding.

What I am going to say is big players only see big number. The do not see the last 2 digit. The last 2 digit is for scalpers. Big players only see the 1st 3 or 4 digit only. So if a bank wants to buy or hedge a currency they will give an instruction to buy at 1.47. Thats it. Simple yet people fails to see it.

So what happens at 1.47? The price will bounce of or hover around it but things arent always what they appear to be. What happen is price will have a range between 1.46 - 1.48. That is almost 200 pips wide range. Imagine what happen to your 50 or 100 pip SL?? Now you know why people lose money even though they have the right direction.

These big players have big money they dont mind to stand few hundreds negative pips coz in the end they will profit big time. What they do is they will have a standing order to trade at certain level. Because the total amount of order, the market cannot fill the order in 1 transaction and so price will hover or bounce of a certain level. This is where double top or bottom appear. Behind it is the action of filling orders by these big players.

It is not looking particularly well for GBPUSD. In the other hand, EURUSD and AUDUSD is looking good for a long term trade. I am taking the long position. It may take a very long time to profit but looking at the chart from a technical view, EURUSD and AUDUSD is in a good position for a long term trading.

I dont exactly know the entry point but I do know the direction. It is time to monitor the shorter time frame in order to find the best possible entry and to minimize stop loss.

It may take sometime but I dont care. I have been waiting for this moment almost 2 months. Look at the charts and see the formation of daily, 4 hour, 30 minute and 5 minute. You may see something that took me over 2 years to see.

Only time can tell if my calculation is correct. At the moment I am still waiting for the 5 minute chart to give and entry signal.

This is one thing that I hate most. A lot of people asking for my trading system. I know what they are going to do with it. They will take the hard work of many years, code it into an expert advisor and let it run on automatic trade.

For those of you who already has a succesfull system, you may share similliar view. Unfortunately for those who are still looking for a profitable way to trade, this is one of their easiest option. I dont blame them, creating a profitable system is not an easy task. It takes years to develop and test a system with no guarantee of success.

Last nite jump was expected but GBPUSD never made it big. Only EURUSD and AUDUSD manage to jump big enough. EURUSD was screaming long from early morning yesterday while AUDUSD make the last minute move.

From a long term perspective. AUDUSD is in a good position for a short position. This is a long term strategy and may require you to have high tolerence toward -ve pips.

So the signal is to short AUDUSD and AUDJPY at the best position as humanly possible. This trade may run up to weeks if not months. So prepare your account for long term holding of post.

There are many ways to make money in Forex, not to forget there are a million ways to lose money in Forex market. Its an open market design for open competition. Only the smartest will survive.

A little something about Baseline Trader. I have spend more than 2 years looking at charts. I am looking at charts through technical aspect. Meaning, there must be some logical explanation why forex behave the way it is. Looking thru the naked eyes, forex market is unpredictable, wild and hungry. Its like a tsunami wave, destroying everything in its path but then there are wave surfers who make a living out of surfing waves. How is that possible?

Baseline Trader will be based on Fibonacci numbers. Believe or not, Fibonacci is a wonderful mathematical calculation. In the chart there will be short term and long term trade, fib levels, entry and exit, sl level all bunch up in a single chart. Sounds too much but believe me, once you know how to read it, one glance and you know where you are going to be. It is design to be simple yet precise. If you read the chart right, you will always be with the trend and you will always know your exit.

After looking at charts for over 1 year now, I have made a conclusion on how the market move. It may differ from other people point of view but at least this is how I made profit or loss in Forex Market.

The Market generally move once or the most twice a day. That is how much Forex market move. There is no point on being stuck in front of the pc the whole day since it will only move once. If you dont belive me look at any pair in timeframe 1 hour or less. Forex doesnt move in straight line but it has a tendency of moving to a particular direction in a zig zag motion.

The idea is to develop a system or set of indicators that will give you an entry early enough for you to profit when the market makes its move. There is no way you can tell the move before its moving. The price must move at least a little to a particular direction before you signal is triggered. Then you enter the market and take the remaining move.

The system must only give you signal once a day or twice the most. Because its a daily trade dont expect much. Sometimes condition are bad even 5 pip is enough. You must remember that if you are trading less than 1 billion you are small fish in the sea. Take what you need and leave or else get eaten by the big fish.

forex has enter the ranging mode. Ive been busy with work since I have a day time job. Merdeka celebration is coming and I am going to be extra busy. Next week I am going to KL.

As for forex, this week is not so good for me. All my technical is correct just that being unlucky sometimes. My position of long GU and GJ both hit SL on the last dip. I can never imagine it can go down that much. Thanks for EG, I manage to cover my lost and made a little profit.

Back to technical analysis, GJ has made it top at 244.06 and there is a reversal sign. GU it seems has not reached it top. There is some room to go before a reversal can be considered. Look for formation of double top and watch out for its strength. Im not going to give signal since I do not have time to trade. If I do enter the market it would be touch and go or thru stop order with sl (which is very difficult to judge).

This is going to be short and simple. The best system is the simplest. Take any of your best indicators, apply them to daily chart. Look for the trend.

Take the same indicators apply them to hourly chart. Based on the daily trend look for entry.

If the daily chart is saying uptrend, use your hourly chart to find long position only. If the daily chart is saying downtrend, use your hourly chart to find short position only.

If the daily chart is saying uptrend and u have a short signal from your hourly chart, you can close your position and take another position when the hourly chart is giving the same signal as the daily chart and vice versa.

Land Of Forex, Trend Is King

Those are the words i hold on to in forex. No matter what happen in technical or fundamental study. Always follow the trend. Trend is king. Follow the king and you will be rewarded handsomely.

This is like fuel for Usd and it effect all pair especially eur/usd and gbp/usd. Last friday the report came out a mixed bag. People are confused and the price swing up and down. I was on the losing side of the trade but because of the swing at certain point I was 30 pips up but because Marketiva usually lock out during news hour, I finally end up at a lost. Well its forex anyway. If you dont lose in forex you dont feel the thrill.

Anyway Im going to review few pairs. Maybe some of you can find a trade from my review. As for me I am currently out of the market waiting for it to come to sense. Currently all pairs are at extreme oversold or overbought.

Eur/Usd
Currently at 1.2532 after a drop of almost 200 pips. Currently its on a thin downtrend with a possible target of 1.2450. For those of you who are already on a short position, you may hold the position with trailing stop loss of your choice. For me I will only consider an entry at 1.2450, that will depend on the strength of the momentum.

Gbp/Usd
Currently at 1.8540 and just like eur/usd it drop like a rock during NFP report out. Possible target is 1.8200. Looks like a retrace coming soon. Just watch the trend and momentum for possible entry. I will be looking at this one.

Usd/Cad
Currently at 1.1330. My last signal manage to get me 30 pips. Too small for the effort. Currently going up with possible target of 1.1450. Overshot all indicators. Possible retrace at 1.1360. I will be watching this one.

This is my review. Its not a trade recommendation. Be very carefull on your trade coz forex is a risky market. If you are not sure better stay out until the market make some sense. Happy trading.

This forex trading system is part of my full forex trading system. I post it just to help out new traders to develop their own trading system. This forex system can be use on all pairs. It is far from perfect but can give you an idea how to trade and develop your own forex trading system. Maybe in the future if you manage to improve this system you may want to share with me. Anyway here it goes.

Time Frame : 4 hours
MA's : SMA5 or SMA8 which ever suits you better, SMA55
TSF : Period=55
Bollinger Band : MA=simple, Period=55, Multiple=2.0
Stochastic Slow : Period = 10,3,3, simple, simple
Stochastic Fast : Period = 13,3 Exponential

Everybody likes free things. So do I but I like to give free things as well. In the future I will post Free Forex Signal in this blog. Before anyone trade on those free forex signal, I would like to warn you that I will not take responsibility on any profit or lost by using my free forex signal.

Read some very interesting review on marketiva. It seems that some people classified Marketiva as scam. I dont mind since im still using their $5. To me marketiva is a learning platform. Btw one review for you to read:
"I would not trust any company with no background info. I had asked to see who or what is behind the company before depositing funds. No response. I believe there is some type of long term scam here. Something is not right compared to other brokers. Also it is a bit strange that you can open an acct. with no I.D. Last but not least, beware the glowing reviews of Marketiva spread out on forums. Most if not all of these posts are made by actual Marketiva admins posing fraudulently as investors. You can easily pick them out. They are the ones using obvious marketing slogans and pushing the free $5 for joining. The $5 is just a ploy to sucker in the new trader.The rest of the posts are from those promoting their referral links.I'm of the opinion that Marketiva is a total bucket shop. Like a ponzi, the money from losers lines the pockets of Marketiva and helps pay the few that make a profit. I seriously doubt any investor's money actually makes it onto the market. 95% of traders lose on average. This makes for a profitable business model especially when the investor is essentially trading on a demo account with real money. They know you are very likely to lose, so your money goes into the bucket and you are left blaming a bad market when you lose when in fact, your money never even made it there.Ok, thats enough ranting. Beware Marketiva and do your own research and due diligence checks on any broker you wish to join.

When doing technical analysis on forex. There are 3 factors that need to be properly recognise and use. They are trend, momentum and timing.

Trend
Trend is the tendency of movement to a particular direction. When it is uptrend, the price will move up and vice versa.

Momentum.
Momentum is the strength of movement. The stronger the momentum the stronger the move. When the momentum is finished, it will reverse.

Timing
Timing is when u enter the market. Enter only when the profit to risk ratio is good. Other than that better stay out.

Foreign Exchange (FOREX) is the arena where a nation's currency is exchanged for that of another. The foreign exchange market is the largest financial market in the world, with the equivalent of over $1.9 trillion changing hands daily; more than three times the aggregate amount of the US Equity and Treasury markets combined. Unlike other financial markets, the Forex market has no physical location and no central exchange. It operates through a global network of banks, corporations and individuals trading one currency for another. The lack of a physical exchange enables the Forex market to operate on a 24-hour basis, spanning from one zone to another in all the major financial centers.

Forex is becoming more and more popular due to its availability over the internet and current high speed internet. Some people have made a living out of forex trading. Its not easy but we all have to start somewhere. Here there will be infomation on forex trading, forex brokers, forex signal, forex chart, technical study and fundamental study of forex and lots more.

this is not the same as rollover minutes from your cell phone carrier. For positions open at 5pm EST, there is a daily rollover interest rate that a trader either pays or earns, depending on your established margin and position in the market. If you do not want to earn or pay interest on your positions, simply make sure it is closed at 5pm EST, the established end of the market day. Since every currency trade involves borrowing one currency to buy another, interest rollover charges are an inherent part of FX trading. Interest is paid on the currency that is borrowed, and earned on the one that is purchased. If a client is buying a currency with a higher interest rate than the one he/she is borrowing, the net differential will be positive (i.e. USD/JPY) – and the client will earn funds as a result.

In this example the USD is the base currency and thus the “basis” for the buy/sell.

If you think the Swiss franc is overvalued, you would execute a BUY USD/CHF order. By doing so you have bought US dollars in the expectation that they will appreciate versus the Swiss Franc. If you believe that due to instability in Iraq and in U.S. financial markets the dollar will continue to weaken, you would execute a SELL USD/CHF order. By doing so you have sold US dollars in the expectation that they will depreciate against the Swiss franc.

I don't have enough money to buy $10,000 EUR. Can I still trade?

You can with margin trading! Margin trading is simply the term used for trading with borrowed capital. This is how you're able to open $10,000 or $100,000 positions with $50 or $1,000. You can conduct relatively large transactions, very quickly and cheaply, with a small amount of initial capital.

In this example the GBP is the base currency and thus the “basis” for the buy/sell. If you think the British economy will continue to do better than the United States in terms of growth, you would execute a BUY GBP/USD order. By doing so you have bought pounds in the expectation that they will rise versus the US dollar. If you believe the British's economy is slowing while the United State's economy remains vibrant, you would execute a SELL GBP/USD order.

In this example the US dollar is the base currency and thus the “basis” for the buy/sell. If you think that the Japanese government is going to weaken the Yen in order to help its export industry, you would execute a BUY USD/JPY order. By doing so you have bought U.S dollars in the expectation that they will rise versus the Japanese yen. If you believe that Japanese investors are pulling money out of U.S. financial markets and coverting all their U.S. dollars back to Yen, and this will hurt the US dollar, you would execute a SELL USD/JPY order.

In this example euro is the base currency and thus the “basis” for the buy/sell. If you believe that the US economy will continue to weaken, which is bad for the US dollar, you would execute a BUY EUR/USD order. By doing so you have bought euros in the expectation that they will rise versus the US dollar. If you believe that the US economy is strong and the euro will weaken against the US dollar you would execute a SELL EUR/USD order.

All Forex quotes include a two-way price, the bid and ask. The bid is always lower than the ask price.
The bid is the price in which the dealer is willing to buy the base currency in exchange for the quote currency. This means the bid is the price in which you the trader will sell.
The ask is the price at which the dealer will sell the base currency in exchange for the quote currency. This means the ask is the price in which you the trader will buy.
The difference between the bid and the ask price is popularly know as the spread.

First, you should determine whether you want to buy or sell.
If you want to buy (which actually means buy the base currency and sell the quote currency), you want the base currency to rise in value and then you would sell it back at a higher price. In trader's talk, this is called "going long" or taking a "long position". Just remember: long = buy.
If you want to sell (which actually means sell the base currency and buy the quote currency), you want the base currency to fall in value and then you would buy it back at a lower price. This is called "going short" or taking a "short position". Short = sell.

Currencies are always quoted in pairs, such as EUR/USD or USD/CHF. The reason they are quoted in pairs is because in every foreign exchange transaction you are simultanesouly buying one currency and selling another. Here is an example of a foreign exchange rate of the British pound versus the U.S. dollar:
GBP/USD = 1.7500
The currency to the left of the slash ("/") is called the base currency (in this example, the British pound) and the one on the right is called the quote currency or counter currency (in this example, the U.S. dollar).
When buying, the exchange rate tells you how much you have to pay in units of the quote currency to buy one unit of the base currency. In the example above, you have to pay 1.7500 U.S. dollar to buy 1 British pound.

In the foreign exchange market, you buy or sell currencies. Placing a trade in the foreign exchange market is simple: the mechanics of a trade are very similar to those found in other markets (like the stock market), so if you have any experience in trading, you should be able to pick it up pretty quickly.

The most common increment of currencies is the Pip. If the EUR/USD moves from 1.2250 to 1.2251, that is ONE PIP. A pip is the last decimal place of a quotation. The Pip is how you measure your profit or loss.
As each currency has its own value, it is necessary to calculate the value of a pip for that particular currency. In currencies where the US Dollar is quoted first, the calculation would be as follows.
Let’s take USD/JPY rate at 119.80 (notice this currency pair only goes to two decimal places, most of the other currencies have four decimal places)
In the case of USD/JPY, 1 pip would be .01
Therefore,

USD/JPY:

119.80
.01 divided by exchange rate = pip value
.01 / 119.80 = 0.0000834
This looks like a very long number but later we will discuss lot size.

USD/CHF:
1.5250
.0001 divided by exchange rate = pip value
.0001 / 1.5250 = 0.0000655
USD/CAD:
1.4890
.0001 divided by exchange rate = pip value
.0001 / 1.4890 = 0.00006715

In the case where the US Dollar is not quoted first and we want to get the US Dollar value, we have to add one more step.

EUR/USD:
1.2200
.0001 divided by exchange rate = pip value
so
.0001 / 1.2200 = EUR 0.0008196
but we need to get back to US dollars so we add another calculation which is
EUR x Exchange rate
So
0.0008196 x 1.2200 = 0.00009999
When rounded up it would be 0.0001

GBP/USD:
1.7975

.0001 divided by exchange rate = pip value
So
.0001 / 1.7975 = GBP 0.0000556

But we need to get back to US dollars so we add another calculation which is
GBP x Exchange rate
So
0.0000556 x 1.7975 = 0.0000998
When rounded up it would be 0.0001